April 25, 2008

Getting Sociality Wrong: We

by Stowe Boyd

So I am strongly in agreement with the goals of We: solving global warming. And I would like to see them harness the energies of the edglings: we, the denizens of the web. But I think they are doing it all wrong, or mostly wrong.

They have a website where you can register, sign a petition, and so on. I guess I did that some time ago. But that's about it. Oh, I guess you could donate money somehow.

Then, this morning, I got an email suggesting that I could help to rally others to the cause, and if I got ten others to sign up I would get an organic T shirt. 'Cool,' I thought, 'let me get a link and twitter this, and post it on my blog.' Here's the email:

First thing, I clicked through on the 'easy online tool' which would have led to me uploading all my Gmail contacts or something. Email? Yikes.

So I decided to reply to the message, which had a human being's name on it, but that led to a bounce, since the email address, info@wecansolveit.org, loops back on itself. Gah. Shouldn't an org like this have an info@ account that works? And more importantly, if they are sending me an email with a human being's name on it, I want to be able to respond to it, no matter how large their activities have grown. Or don't put a human name on it.

Then I decided to ping them, asking them how to go about participating via my blog and through twitter. And I got this email back:

So, I am using the means that they suggest to communicate with them -- the one that they are using to communicate with me -- and they tell me that they may not be able to respond. I just find that unacceptable. This is not as horrible a social gaffe as John Edwards dropping off the twittersphere without saying goodbye (see Shame On You, John Edwards: The Exploitation Of Web Culture), but it's wrongheaded.

Can't they harness the people that they are attracting in some wikipediaesque manner? Can't they scale the organization to meet the needs of social interaction?

And on a much more basic level, can't they get organized so that bloggers and twitterers can spread this message and get a T shirt?

So please go and register at www.wecansolveit.org, and if they give you the option, tell them I sent you.

April 12, 2008

The Great Conversation Migration: Go With The Flow

by Stowe Boyd

Louis Gray has posted some thoughts that have caused the question about the appropriate locus for web commentary to boil up again:

[from louisgray.com: Should Fractured Feed Reader Comments Raise Blog Owners' Ire?: Silicon Valley Blog

Some of us have just as loudly asked for comments and conversations to enter the world of the RSS feed reader. Now that we're starting to see what it's like, maybe it's not what we had fully anticipated. But it's the way things are headed, and rather than label innovators like Matt Shaulis (Twitter | FriendFeed) and Dave Stanley of Shyftr (Twitter | FriendFeed) as outrageous or possibly illegitimate, we should engage and speak up about what we think is right. As for the developers who enable these services, there are definitely ways they can help raise the visibility of the practice - through e-mail alerts, trackbacks, or even giving the option to opt out. But we'll be seeing this more and more going forward. I promise you that.

This is closely related to the conversation moving from blogs to Twitter, as I mentioned in Beyond Blogs: The Conversation Has Moved Into The Flow:

Basically, conversation is moving from a very static and slow form of conversation -- the comments thread on blog posts -- to a more dynamic and fast form of conversation: into the flow in Twitter, Friendfeed, and others. I think this directionality may be like a law of the universe: conversation moves to where is is most social.

Let's face it: people do not leave a page on someone's blog open all day, waiting to see if someone shows up there to chat. But people do open Twitter, or their RSS readers, and leave them open all day, and they zoom in on comments and posts that look interesting.

Robert Scoble embraces thisas both inevitable and perhaps even an improvement:

Anyway, I am seeing this trend big time. Over on FriendFeed I’m seeing better comments than I see on most blogs (and more quantity too).

The era when bloggers could control where the discussion of their stuff took place is totally over.

This is a trend that the best bloggers should embrace. Me? I follow wherever the conversation takes me.

Eric Berlin suggests that Twitter is the new RSS reader:

For me, Twitter has of late become a faster and easier and more accessible way to let the news “come to me.” Churning through endless RSS feeds – spools of new product announcements from the likes of TechCrunch and Mashable, for instance – can at times be a chore, leeching away the excitement of discovery that leads me (and you) to hit the interwebs in the first place seeking out new treasure chests in the first place.

The 'information finds me, instead of me having to find it' is one of the best ways to characterize flow apps, as a whole, like Twitter, the Facebook mini-feed, and Workstreamr.

Tony Hung seems to stumble over his feet a bit, in his condemnation of RSS services (like Shyftr) that copy blog posts in their entirety, and suggests they have crossed a line. When he mentions copyright issue, he really hasn't thought it through. For example, at /Message, I have an explicit policy of Creative Commons licensing (with attribution, no derivatives, non-commercial use only). So, I am explicitly giving rights to others. In the absence of explicit agreements like creative commons, standard copyright is in place, which limits what someone can do with our art.

But that is really an aside to Louis Gray's commentary.

I am perfectly happy to let people 'scrape' my writings, and paper the wall of some RSS reader with it. Isn't that inevitable? You could block that by simply disabling your RSS feeds, but readers would be pissed.

And it is likewise inevitable that people will create links to blog posts, and comment on them, and that this discussion could be anywhere.

And increasingly the conversation will be taking place elsewhere: not in the blog, but in the flow.

Behind this commotion is the issue of pageviews and ad revenue, since people having a discussion in Twitter is arguably good for Twitter and the participants, but it doesn't make any money -- directly -- for the author, since people aren't looking at the ads on his blog. That's the real rub, and something that suggests headaches for bloggers and business opportunities for tool vendors.

February 27, 2008

Esther Dyson on The Coming Ad Revolution

by Stowe Boyd

Reston: Esther is going to invest in Dopplr, because sociality changes the way that advertising works:

[from The Coming Ad Revolution - WSJ.com by Esther Dyson]

[...]

Each user determines who will get into his own garden, whether friends or vendors. Look at Dopplr (where I plan to become an investor), a site for travelers. I list my trips, and see how they intersect with my friends' itineraries. "Oh, we'll both be in London April 4? Let's get together!" Or, "Juan and Alice will be in town next Tuesday. Let's hold a dinner!" You can imagine or visit equivalent approaches for books (a hypothetical Amazon 2.0, new and more personalized), clothes (Glam.com and Stardoll.com), and even money management.

So what's the business model? I'll "friend" British Airways, which will say, "We see you're going to Moscow next month. Why not fly through London and we'll give you 10,000 extra miles?" I'm no longer in a bucket of frequent travelers, my privacy protected. I'm an individual with specific travel plans, which I intentionally make visible to preferred vendors. British Airways, of course, will pay Dopplr a handsome sponsorship fee to be eligible to be my "friend" (just as a Nike rep might pay to sponsor a basketball game and be part of the community). Someday NetJets may show up, offering to ferry me and my friends to a conference we'll be attending together.

I'm far more likely to respond to BA or NetJets within a trusted site, and for a specific offer, than I am to heed their ad while reading a newspaper article on the troubles in Russia. (As for Orbitz, my old standby: After five years, it still doesn't acknowledge my preferred airlines.)

The new model creates a more trusted environment for reaching high-value, frequent purchasers, whether of airline tickets, electronics, clothes or other items. Where does that leave the less-frequent purchasers? Probably looking to their friends rather than to advertising for advice. I'm an expert on travel; my friends may look to me for hotel choices. When I'm in the mood to buy a book or a new computer, I'll check out what my friends on Facebook are doing.

I wrote years ago that in the future, all e-commerce would be socialized. Lools like we are about to pass over that horizon.

[In passing, I learned about this piece in an email from Dopplr, announcing their "Singapore" release, with a number of features that I have been playing with over the past month or so. For more info, check out their blog.]

January 31, 2008

Flu Vaccine Shortage Posts From 2004

by Stowe Boyd

I am reposting several posts I wrote in 2004 at Get Real during the flu vaccine shortage.

Ethics of the Flu Vaccine Shortage: What Would Network Science Do?

The flu vaccine shortage has brought to high relief the inability of our government to effectively respond to public health threats. This is the result of a laissez faire attitude toward the safety net that the government has an implicit obligation to put and keep in place for the old, young, and needy, but even more chilling, as the direct result of outdated ethics.

Confronted with a shortage of flu vaccine, the health care apparatchiks have responded in a 19th century, "women and children first" approach, which may feel like the ethical response, but is in fact not well-grounded scientifically. It turns out that doling out the scarce flu vaccinations to those most at risk will not counter the threat of epidemic. The government bureaucrats may continue in the old, wrong-headed, and unscientific rhetoric, but the public heath people should know better.

Network science has shown that human interaction is scale free: that is to say, some of us have significantly more contacts that the rest of us. As scale-free networks grow, those with more contacts are more likely to add new contacts. This is the power law of popularity and influence that we have seen at work everywhere in human interactions.

Research into the spread of diseases like AIDS has suggested an alternative approach to breaking the non-linear expansion of the epidemic, which diffuses through the population just like innovations:

[from Linked by Albert-László Barabási]

Despite differences in purpose and detail, all diffusion models predict the same phenomenon: Each innovations has a well-defined spreading rate, representing the likelihood that it will be adopted by a person introduced to it. [...] Yet knowing the spreading rate alone is not sufficient to decide the fate of an innovation. For what we must calculate is the critical threashold, a quantity determined by the properties of the network in which the innovation spreads. If the spreading rate of the innovation is less than the critical threshold, it will die out quickly. If it is over the threshold, however, than the number of people adopting it will increase exponentially until everybody who could use it does.

Recognizing that passing a critical threshold is the prerequisite for the spread of fads and viruses was probably the most important conceptual advance in understanding in spreading and diffusion. Currently the critical threshold is part of every diffusion theory. Epidemiologists work with it when they model the probability that a new infection will turn into an epidemic, as the AIDS virus did. [...]

For decades, a simple but powerful paradigm dominated our treatment of diffusion problems. If we wanted to estimate the probability that an innovation would spread, we needed only to know its spreading rate and the critical threshold it faced. Recently, however, we learned that some viruses and innovations are oblivious to it.

Research into the spread of computer viruses has led to a new, network science-based approach to modeling -- and countering -- human epidemics.

[from Linked by Albert-László Barabási]

The deadly virus [AIDS] must have followed the route already spotted in the spread of innovation and computer viruses: Hubs are among the first infected thanks to their numerous sexual contacts. Once infected, they quickly infect hundreds of others. If our sex web formed a homogeneous, random network, AIDS might have died out long ago. The scale-free topology of AIDS dispersal allowed the virus to spread and persist.

So the problem before us, ethically, should not be "find those who are the most at risk, and vaccinate them," but rather "who among us are most likely to be the hubs in the spread of the flu? Find them, and vaccinate them."

Especially when supplies are limited, the best hope to stem the rise of the epidemic is to find the most connected individuals in the population -- which in this case means physically connected, not virtually -- and immediately vaccinate them.

I am no expert in the determination of who are the most connected people, but it would likely include some obvious -- and non-obvious -- walks of life. Various kinds of public and health service workers come to mind: doctors, nurses, and other folks in hospitals, clinics, and medical offices who come in contact with the old, young, and infirm are obvious candidates. Starbucks barristas, taxi cab drivers, and bartenders -- while not at risk, necessarily, to succumbing to the flu -- are likely disease vectors who might spread the disease to hundreds of others if they were to contract it. I am even willing to concede that our Senators and Representatives to Congress are likely to fall into this group, and therefore administering vaccine to this group is in the public interest, even while it may appear to be self-serving.

While some have argued that administering AIDS counteragents (we still have no vaccine) to those who are most promiscuous only rewards unsavory and immoral behavior, we have no such quandary in this case. The flu is not a sexually transmitted disease, so there is no moral dimension to vaccinating the bus driver: he could infect hundreds of old, young, and infirm every day. And he would do so simply through doing his job, not through some arguably anti-social act. And worst of all, he could infect two dozen other bus drivers, who would infect thousands, again.

The scale-free network is there, we all know it, and you can't wish it away. Our best choice is to apply what we know.

The stupidity du jour is the bone-headed notion of vaccine lotteries. This is totally dumb, and intelligent people everywhere should rise up against its apparent "fairness." It flies in the face of reason, and squanders perhaps our only chance to stop the spread of the flu in a population confronted with an inadequate supply of vaccine.

The outcome of better science should be the betterment of society, on the whole, and an improvement in every individual's life. However, this is only true if those that govern our collective resources wisely take into account the best scientific thought. If they, on the other hand, disregard science and devolve into outdated ethics and pseudo-scientific mumbo gumbo, they should be hounded from office.

More on Flu Vaccination: Kids are the Supernodes

I posted a plea for the application of network science to the distribution of flu vaccine, last week. Various Corante contributors pointed out some fallacies in my arguments, or at least the fact that my arguments are not well supported by network research to date.

Both danah boyd and Clay Shirky pointed out via email that the studies I cited re: AIDS dispersal were much simpler to model because of the relative difficulty involved in spreading AIDS. The flu, on the other hand, is spread by very casual interaction -- breathing other person's exhalations, or using a cup touched by a flu sufferer -- so that the dispersal is much more general and open.

I concur, as far as the analysis goes. But I maintain that there is still a network gradient involved, and that people should be sorted out to those least likely to spread the disease -- older shut-ins, for example -- and those who are more likely to spread the bug.

Renee Hopkins Callahan came across an interesting support for this position:

[from NPR : Health Experts: Kids Should Get Flu Shots First]

Health Experts: Kids Should Get Flu Shots First

Morning Edition, November 1, 2004 · In a typical flu season, more than 40 percent of school-age kids get the flu. But health officials are trying to get the vaccine to Americans over age 50. New findings suggest children should be vaccinated first to reduce the spread of flu to older adults. Hear NPR's Richard Knox.

Turns out that kids get the flu at over 7 times the rate of adults, and then infect at risk adults. As Renee notes, "This test is based on a case in Japan where flu in older people almost disappeared after a period of years of vaccinating all school-age children, then returned after the vaccination program was discontinued."

So the empirical results suggest that vaccinating school age children may break the epidemic explosion, because schools turn out to be a hot zone for the disease, even though the children themselves are not at risk. So, when we are short of vaccine, we should target the kids to quell the epidemic. Of course, as is noted in the report, if you really are confronted with a pandemic, you should inoculate nearly everyone, but if you inoculate even 25% of the kids, you will see a drastic downturn in the overall infection in the population as a whole.

January 08, 2008

Steve Rubel on The Lazysphere

by Stowe Boyd

I personally think Steve had too much rich food over the holidays, and it's made him dyspeptic. While I agree that Techmeme naturally leads to a pile-on mindset among a small group of bloggers, the notion that the entire blogosphere's value is declining is just silly:

[from Micro Persuasion: The Lazysphere and the Decline of Deep Blogging]

[...]

The Lazysphere - a working definition - is a group of bloggers who I won't name by name, but you can spot them a mile away. Rather than create new ideas or pen thoughtful essays, they simply glom on to the latest news with another "me too" blog post. Their goal is largely to land on Techmeme and sometimes digg - perhaps Google in an archival/Long Tail perspective. These sites - and Twitter too - have perpetuated a lot of lackadaisical writing. The Attention Crash is another factor at work here. People don't have as much time to think.

People have just as much time to think this week as last year. Personally, if we want to rant and rail against something that really stinks, let's tell people to turn their televisions off.

Steve, on the other hand, suggests that he, and a short list of those bloggers he thinks are worth reading, can turn the tide. The rest of us are just a bunch of lazy bastards, too busy twittering and echo-chambering to do anything meaningful.

Somehow -- maybe it's the political season -- this feels like a democrat 'attacking from the right': using the rhetoric of republicans to discredit those that are too liberal.

I believe that the nature of blogging *is* shifting, microtectonically, as people are exploring the use of new tools like Techmeme, Twitter, Seesmic, and so on. But it's not laziness: it's innovation and exploration.

November 24, 2007

Dopplr Case Study From Building Social Applications Workshop

by Stowe Boyd

At the recent Web 2.0 Expo in Berlin I presented a revamped version of the Building Social Applications workshop that I had previously given at Lift in Geneva and the Web 2.0 Expo in San Francisco. I have touched on parts of the workshop in other posts (here and here), but this post focusses specifically on the case study and group exercise.

[I guess I have been flapping my mouth too much in Europe... starting to be strange when I am used as the example of what a conference is not going to be:

[from European Tech Tour: Web and Communities Event in Montreux by Fred Destin]

ETT is not meant to be leWeb3. Or LIFT. You won't meet Stowe Boyd doing a podcast about lifestreaming :-). It is a venture focused conference designed to put venture capitalists and local entrepreneurs in touch, and it did that extremely well.

The Case Study

So, the case study walks through Dopplr, a social travel web application. Dopplr is the perfect sort of beast for this kind of dissection, because it doesn't do very much -- at least not yet. It's like a microbe with only 27 genes.

We walked through the entire app, and then -- applying the tools that we discussed earlier in the workshop (see Theory And Practice Of Conceptual Design) -- we broke into groups, acting more or less like design consultants, and formulating recommendations for Dopplr.

I love the pixelated picture that Dopplr uses when someone who doesn't have access to your info (or hasn't logged in) looks at your Dopplr page.

Slide21



Continue reading "Dopplr Case Study From Building Social Applications Workshop" »

November 13, 2007

We Make Our Tools And They Shape Us: Presentations From Berlin

by Stowe Boyd

I gave the following in Berlin, as a 50 minute talk.


I guess I should really record audio, because the slides don't say anything.

I found the cultural differences in Germany pretty significant. Very few women in the extremely nerdish attendees, and while the group seemed oriented toward building and using web apps, the German web culture is jammed with German language knock-offs of English language applications. As a result, it seems relatively insular, inwardly focussed. The same seems true of their blogging community.

Perhaps its just me getting burned out on the lecture circuit, again.

Here's the preso from my workshop, which is equally useless without audio or crib notes, I think:


I am more than willing to do my 'Building Social Applications" workshop, but I think in the future I will limit the size to 50 participants, make it a full day, and charge a lot. The combination of too many people, 3 hours, and not paying much makes for a strange chemistry. In Berlin, 1/3 of the group -- more or less -- just opted out of the group exercise in the workshop, and sat in alienated silence, reading email or surfing the web.

I had one disaster at the show, when I was asked to participate in '5 great ideas in 10 minutes'.

I created a speedo Lessig sort of presentation, one word slides that I was going to flash past at blinding speed. The well-meaning but techno-challenged folks at the conference screwed up the slides. At the last minute they were gathering files on a USB drive from the various participants, like me and Tom Coates. Knowing how PPT can screw things up, I actually checked how my slides looked on the PC. Looked fine. Then someone collapsed all the slideshows into one file -- to make things 'easier'. So I lost all my styles, including the fact that my titles were in dark blue on a light blue semi-transparent rectangle above the images. Instead, I had black text, no rectangles, on top of images. In fact, even up in front I couldn't even read some of the slides, and I know others couldn't.

When I asked the unfortunate soul who had smooshed the presos into one file whether she had looked at the result, she said yes, and that mine had looked pretty bad. "Did you look back at the original?" I asked. No, she didn't have time. (Note that I sent her a copy in the afternoon, but her email had overloaded, so she couldn't receive it.) So 700 people (or more) heard me wave my hands around in front of an unreadable presentation. At least it was only 2 minutes long.

Oh, by the way, the last slide, that I couldn't read? It said "Discovery" -- which is what users of social tools are really after.

<update>6:04 am
In my email this morning was a message from my friend Tina Kulow -- who I hardly got to talk to in Berlin -- about a new study of German companies adoption (or lack of adoption) of Web 2.0 technology. You can download the report here. Basically, Germany is not adopting these technologies very quickly, and only half of those that are aware of Web 2.0 (about half) believe it will be beneficial.
</update>

August 11, 2007

Social Networks And The New Tribalism

by Stowe Boyd

Blonde 2.0 (I love that handle) reports on a survey conducted by An De Jonghe (who apparently blogs only in Dutch, alas Update: she emailed her english language blog info to me. Here's the post on the survey results) on adoption of social networks. The survey has a very small number of participants (850) but the results may be revealing, anyway. It seems that more and more professionals are trying to use social networks as an aspect of work and career advancement.

[from Blonde 2.0 -- Survey on Social Networks Worldwide]

[...]

Who was the average Joe who filled out this survey?

Male, between 30 and 40 years old, in a relationship, with children. Above you can see the percentage of people who participated in each country. Surprisingly only 27% of women participated, even though they are generally considered as being heavier users of social networks.

Which social networks were found to be most popular?

Linkedin clearly takes the lead when it comes to business networking, or networking in general, in the demographic group that was surveyed. This is exactly the reason why I believe that all the people who are leaving Linkedin now and focusing all their efforts on Facebook, are making a mistake. Don’t get me wrong, Facebook is definitely my preferred network these days but I still think that many professionals view Linkedin as a more appropriate platform to network.

Why do people join a social network?

Surprisingly, a whopping 89% put “professional use” as their number one reason to join an online community. 53% use social networks to socialize and stay connected with friends and a meager 16% join social networks if they cater to their hobbies. An states that these results completely disprove the belief that online communities are predominantly used by teenagers who like to chat and socialize. She also writes that this survey makes you question the survival chances of specialized networks (niche networks) that don’t currently offer a business advantage.

I must say that I think these numbers are somewhat skewed given the demographic of the group surveyed and the fact that a large group of the participants are users of Ecademy, a business networking site. If a younger, less “business oriented” group of people had been surveyed, I think that most of them would say they use networks for socializing and interacting with their friends.

I agree with Blondie in part: the age demographic skews the results. The relatively paunchy 30-40 year-old Gen X demographic does not line up with growing Gen Y and Z sensibilities. But I don't go along with the 'socializing and interacting with friends' without shaking it up a bit.

I think a new tribalism is starting to emerge through social connection on the web. A bottom-up, emergent sense of allegiance through web-enabled communities is supplanting twentieth century, industrial era alienation. While tribalism has its dark side -- a tendency toward inter-tribal conflict and aggression -- the wiring of the human mind and new social technologies are combining to engender neo-tribalism.

Many of the motivations for participation in social networks are fundamental, so fundamental that they are unlikely to find their way to a survey of the sort An De Jonghe has conducted. What we need is a more anthropological study, by Robin Dunbar or his ilk. Participation in social networks -- which leads to affiliation with a specific subset of the greater population in the network, or, a 'tribe' -- conveys certain advantages to the participants:

  • An increased likelihood of financial rewards -- access to better, more interesting, and more rewarding work, for example. These are direct -- like hearing about new opportunities earlier than non-networked individuals -- and indirect. Indirect benefits derive from having access to common repositories of information, and the ability to draw on social capital through tribal-style group altruism where members can ask others for assistance with an increased likelihood of positive results.
  • An increased likelihood of opportunities to have sex -- yes, it's not all about high-minded career advice: people are hooking up.
  • A human-scale sense of belonging -- the growing disaffection with increasingly out-of-touch national governments and transnational organizations (The World Bank, The United Nations, The European Union, and so on) are leading to a narrowing of allegiance. In some parts of the world, existing tribal affiliation is resurgent, as in the chaos created by the US invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq. In other parts of the world, even in western countries, regionalism based on political, cultural or language affiliation is leading to a lessening of the role of the nation state. Consider the growing autonomy demanded by Catalans in Spain, or the continued conflict in Kosovo, where ethnic Albanians are 90% of the population and are unwilling to be part of a 'Greater Serbia'.

My primary relationship with the world is through my social network, and I don't mean Facebook: I mean the specific collection of a few hundred people that I connect with through a smorgasbord of tools and services. And this is more important to me than other allegiance. More important than religion (not that I have one, really, aside from a diffused sort of Taoism), locality (I am a nomad, after all, like many tribal peoples), and definitely more than nationality (I haven't felt very American for some time).

The difference with the new tribalism is that it is borderless, and isn't organized as an exclusionary system. Some may reject new tribalism as being in conflict with their other allegiances. Hard bitten business types who feel that the purpose of work is to crush competitors and win at all costs will find the inherent altruism and shared social capital of web tribalism incompatible with their world view. Religions that are based on hatred of non-believers or those that have different beliefs will find web tribalism a growing threat to their exclusionary practices. Centralized national governments will fan the fires of industrial-era patriotism, but will find less adherents that are willing to bond with the notion of national interests trumping global and personal concerns.

I veered a bit from the thread of why 850 individuals thought that social networks are useful. But I believe that the deep purpose of social networks lies beneath the purely conscious tangible benefits that flicker through the respondents heads as they answer the narrowly focused questions. The deep structure of future human connection is being contrived, now, on the web, and it will slowly unseat other systems, like an oak tree growing in a churchyard, encroaching on the cathedral's foundations with roots that are deeper and stronger than artifice can achieve. This is in us, it is in the wiring, and social tools are allowing us to rechannel our ancient tribal past in a post-industrial future. Nothing can stop it.

July 23, 2007

Flow and Streams

by Stowe Boyd

Josh Porter writes about the Stream term that's spreading in the Web:

You’ve probably heard the term “stream” in relation to attention, as in “attention stream”.

The usage of the word is spreading, however, and is now finding its way into web application vernacular. It is called a “lifestream”, “socialstream”, “friendstream”, “contentstream”, among others.

It has come to mean a list of the always-updated items in a system.

[...]

Satisfaction’s Lane Becker suggests (and I think he’s right), that streams are as core to today’s social applications as the checkout sequence was to apps 5 years ago. He says:

The “stream” — let’s call it that, because “river” just doesn’t cut it — is, like tagging, one of those canonical, web-native inventions that is already so totally fundamental to inhabiting an online social system that its adoption is inevitable in every app that plans to aggregate people in a collaborative networked setting. The stream is to this round of the web what shopping carts were to the last one. It’ll show up everywhere, but put to very different ends in different places.

This is what I have been characterizing as 'traffic and flow' for some time:

  • Flow is the term I use for the social channels used to move information from person to person in flow applications, like Twitter, Facebook, and dozens of others. The critical means to decide if something is a flow app is to see if important traffic can be flowed to you instead of you having to go and find it.
  • Traffic is the information moving through the flow, such as status updates, but it could be (and in the future it increasingly will be) all sorts of stuff.

June 21, 2007

Laurent Haug Joins The Attention Economists

by Stowe Boyd

Inspired by Steve Rubel's recent post on the Attention Crash, now Laurent Haug (of Lift) has started to gripe about his attention as a 'precious resource' (although I do agree with him about dropping his LinkedIn account, for totally different reasons):

[from The Attention Bubble]

As our time becomes the most precious resource we have, the millions of web pages competing for our attention are becoming a problem. Early adopters – the canaries in the coal mine? – are reacting, arbitrating between all their time consuming actions. When I lost my mobile phone two month ago, I almost didn’t renew my subscription. It’s only after I got blamed by a client who was trying to reach me that I decided to re-order a mobile. Email? I am increasingly forcing myself to only answer them once a day. I let the flow of information get in anytime, but I stack all the answers together, trying to get in a more productive flow once a day to answer. Best practices are coming together to counter the overflow. We just need to create them.

No, we need better techniques to live in the flow, not shut it down. We need to shift away from the web of pages to a web of flow, where what we need will find its way to us. By all means, throw away your RSS reader, spend less time in the email client: but not because of attention economics! Those tools are just really bad at treating time as a shared space.

The real problem underneath everything, the premise never examined, is that browsing the web and living in the email client are simply not where we should be. It's not that we are overloaded with too much, its that the tools we use are doing a bad job of connecting us to the important things. They are bad tools.

We need to unseat email and browsing -- Web 1.0's linchpins -- and move into the web of traffic and flow.

March 12, 2007

Steve Rubel on Twitter And The Limits Of Attention

by Stowe Boyd

Steve wonders if Twitter represents a new sort of tool that can help us with the overload of information in the world. The answer is yes.

[from Micro Persuasion: Twitter, Human Attention and Moore's Law]

[...]

What I believe, however, is that our attention span will hit a wall. It's why people migrate from site to site and few have staying power (Geocities, Friendster? Exactly). If Twitter continues its meteoric rise, then we may well be witnessing a changing of the guard. That doesn't mean blogging as we know it will go away. But it will surely morph in Twitter's wake if a big shift is underway.


Twitter represents -- along with other social presence technologies -- a shift to what I have been calling traffic and flow apps, and away from static URLs.

In a recent presentation at Etel, which I have retitled Overload, Shmoverload, I touched on the coming shift to flow applications, a topic I have written about a lot recently:

[from Traffic and Flow]

I have been working on something (hush hush) that winds up providing similar capabilities, although not limited to a plugin for one blog technology. And more importantly, I think, it moves away from the concept of a chronology of posts, toward an acceptance of what I think is the core dual elements of future social applications: flow and traffic.

Social applications are -- at their basis -- a means for us to communicate. Not just point-to-point communication, as in email or in IM, but increasingly a more general communication from me to the network of others that believe that I matter. This is what blogging affords us, and Flickr streams, and even Twitter.

We are sending all sorts of traffic -- different sorts of messages -- flowing through the various implicit and explicit social networks that we define ourselves through, and through which we discover meaning, belonging, and insight.

This traffic flow -- made more liquid by RSS and instant messaging style real-time messaging -- is the primary dynamic that I believe we will see in all future social apps.

And as we learn to accomodate a flow style of social interaction and network-based viral information movement, our thoughts about time, attention, and connectedness will change. We will train the neurons, like jugglers do, and we will shift toward a sort of attention field rather than focusing on one thing at a time. That's how jugglers do it. We will see our consciousness change, and then our ethos.

We will find that small apps that provide us small bits of situational awareness, or fragments of social connectedness, will become more critical, and older models of interaction -- like email, forums, chat rooms -- where we have to go to them to use them, will fall away.

In a world of flow, information will find us. And we will find ourselves more connected, in a richer world, with a different form of attention.

March 08, 2007

Social = Me First: A Video From Lift 07

by Stowe Boyd

It is a day for presentations, it seems. Laurent Haug pinged me this morning, letting me know that the video of my presentation from the Lift conference in Geneva is up. He had some kind words to say about the presentation, Social = Me First, and the workshop that I had given there, Building Social Applications.

I thought that I had written a "Social= Me First" post, but I haven't per se. Here's one that touches on the theme.

I've uploaded the Social = Me First presentation:


Here's the video:


The core takeaway:

Social = Me First

People are online for discovery. It looks like its about things, but its not. They go to 'places', but really to find people. And below it all, they are involved with people to discover themselves.

This is not a high-minded philosophy pitch: it just practical. If you are trying to build social apps you have to understand that, even if the people using the apps think that they are merely trying to find new music, or better shoes, or the best extreme karaking trip in Hawaii.

As more of the web moves toward this model, more power moves to the edge. Users want control, they want to make the rules, choose their terms, friends, networks. Only the players that understand this will succeed. People will find meaning from relationship with others, not by membership in organizations or groups.

There was no video of the workshop, alas, but I have uploaded the presentation:


February 19, 2007

Traffic And Flow

by Stowe Boyd

Emily Chang has announced her consolidated "data stream" all posted in one place, courtesy of an ExpressionEngine plugin by Andrew Weaver. The specifics, and her terminology, are less important than the motivating desire:

[from My Data Stream]

For now, this activity stream idea is providing the start to a holistic view of my activity across online networks: both my own and the ones I use. In turn, this acts as a conduit for you, the reader. Rather than just a static “recommended links” page or a blogroll, the data stream opens up my activity to you in semi-realtime and at one website.

I have been working on something (hush hush) that winds up providing similar capabilities, although not limited to a plugin for one blog technology. And more importantly, I think, it moves away from the concept of a chronology of posts, toward an acceptance of what I think is the core dual elements of future social applications: flow and traffic.

Social applications are -- at their basis -- a means for us to communicate. Not just point-to-point communication, as in email or in IM, but increasingly a more general communication from me to the network of others that believe that I matter. This is what blogging affords us, and Flickr streams, and even Twitter.

We are sending all sorts of traffic -- different sorts of messages -- flowing through the various implicit and explicit social networks that we define ourselves through, and through which we discover meaning, belonging, and insight.

This traffic flow -- made more liquid by RSS and instant messaging style real-time messaging -- is the primary dynamic that I believe we will see in all future social apps. Yes, we will want to have our traffic cached -- for search and analysis purposes -- but we will increasingly move toward a flow model: where the various bits that we craft and throw into the ether -- blog posts, calendar entries, photos, presence updates, whatever -- will be picked up by other apps, either to display them to us, or to make sense of them. We want to consolidate all into one flow -- a single time-stamped thread -- that all apps can dip into.

A pal of yours is having a party? He will create the event using some social application site, and the event will be cast into his traffic. Your flow-aware calendar app might snag the event from the traffic, and ask you if you'd like to confirm. You agree, and the agreement is thrown into your traffic, for your buddy and others to make sense of, downstream.

This world of traffic will change things like blogging: instead of commenting at someone's post -- a static, page-centric system -- I might simply create a commentary with a link to the original (which I may have discovered in my inbound traffic, not necessarily by browsing his/her blog), and I drop a comment into my traffic, where it flows out to all those who want to see my natterings. Yes, sure, I might archive that comment (as well as the inbound post), or maybe push the comment into a conventional blog post: but the basic perception of what is going on shifts away from pages and static URLs toward flow and the elements that make up my traffic.

Obviously, I see this as based on RSS-style XML and microformats, but the nuts and bolts aren't the key issue: I think we already have all the bits of tech that we need. The key issue is a shift in esthetics, in perception: the web community has steadily been moving toward flow ever since instant messaging appeared, but the widespread availability of RSS is now the precipitating lever that will change the basic nature of how we think about and use the web, and the applications that we are going to make, going forward.

My sense is that small advances like Emily's single stream represent the inchoate and pent-up need for a traffic and flow model to crystallize, and change the web, fundamentally.

January 12, 2006

The Individual Is The New Group

by Stowe Boyd

Spread throughout my recent writing, a certain latent idea is lurking, incompletely articulated, which I summarize in the title: the individual is the new group.

About a decade ago, the one of the then-current terms of art for social tools was groupware, and the term was intended to impart the core metaphor: groups need to collaborate, and tools need to be defined with that in mind. As a result, we saw the rise of application platforms like Lotus Notes, intended to counter the flaws of operating systems and applications that were organized around an earlier, less group-oriented metaphor of use.

The central motif of groupware solutions was the need for groups to have a shared repository for online documents, and a collection of communication and collaboration tools to enable a distributed team to collectively accomplish goals. These tools included email, group calendaring, discussion forums, shared to do lists, and real-time support, in the late 90s and early 00s, for instant messaging, chat rooms, and web conferencing.

This model of group collaboration has become the basic form factor of work in many large organizations. However, I have come to believe that this model is being eclipsed by a new epicenter of social context: the individual, rather than the group.

Contrasting group forums with blogging is a good example in which to make the distinction between group- and individual-oriented social tools. In group forums, members of a closed group can post threads and comment on them. It is a closed model. When individuals blog in the open web, trackbacks and comments allow discussions to take place that are -- in many cases -- logically equivalent to forums, but since each individual blogger decides where to turn their focus, and what other blogs to comment on, bloggers are members of many groups at the same time. More importantly, the structure of blogging supports that model directly. In a group forum, you are a member of that one group, and not a member of any others: the fact that you may be a member of other groups is not explicitly supported.

Another driver of this change toward the individual is the rise of instant messaging. I have said many times recently that "the buddy list is the center of the universe 2.0" -- meaning that the presence and real-time proximity of the most critical individuals in our lives is the center of our social interaction. The fact that a particular contact on my buddy list is the member of several groups in my life is less relevant than our social connectedness, individual to individual. While I am IMing a buddy about work related issues, I may veer off into personal issues. I am constantly switching context while in communication with individuals, and real-time communication supports that directly: it's natural to do so.

So the groupware model of collaboration, where neatly partitioned worlds are created, and individuals are made to shift context in order to shift from one social thread to another, seems unnatural to me. The primacy of groups and group membership in old-school groupware is outmoded.

The shift to the individual changes everything, and in revolutionary ways. Moving from groupware premises to "soloware" shifts the dialog about standards and interoperability. In the old groupware model, a company would buy a groupware platform and applications, and roll it out across all the users. It was standardized because everyone was using the same rev of the same product. When the issue of interoperability and standards were brought up, it was approached from the perspective of inter-company communication, or different sites within the same company. But in the soloware model, individuals may be using completely different tools, and share nothing in common but certain standards. But the glue that connects the dots in the soloware world are standards like RSS, IM interoperability, and blog trackback conventions: standards that allow individuals to do their thing, but to allow bottom-up aggregation of their artifacts along social connections. The groups are there, but latent, implicit in the gestural relationships of crosslinking, tags, comments, and blogrolls.

I envision a time where even in the largest organization, our lives as individuals will define the norm for computer-assisted work. The model of  soloware will displace the 90s ideals of groupware in exactly the same way that the pre-groupware assembly line models were dethroned in the 90s. In our work lives, even in the largest, most conservative companies, we are instantaneously involved in dozens of projects, with teams of people that are constantly changing, with outside consultants and partner companies, and there is no end in sight. When everything fractures away from stable, long-lasting, closed teams toward the exact opposite, what is left are individuals in contact with each other, through soloware: individual needs first, group needs second, by extension.

We are, first and foremost, individuals. The concept that whenever we do something it should be intentionally in the context of a specific well-defined group is outmoded, and was always an approximation of what is really going on, socially. We are involved in social relationships, and what we do with others is always social, but not necessarily part of a group, or only of one group. So, let's put aside groups, and focus on the individual. The groups will follow.