Stowe Boyd

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A Prediction: IBM and Microsoft

Roughly equal companies in terms of market cap — $220B — but with IBM’s enterprise value about $50B, I am predicting a merger of IBM and Microsoft with IBM leading the merged company, Ballmer retiring, and Microsoft being run — at least for a while — as a branded line of business in the twice as large, new IBM.

The fit of Microsoft’s enterprise solutions — Office, Exchange, Sharepoint, database, programming tools — with IBM’s corporate offerings is great. Also, IBM is the perfect partner to capitalize on the (eventual) migration away from Windows as a PC and server O/S.

As part of the deal, IBM would spin out various parts:

  • The gaming side — Kinect, Xbox — would be spun out as a standalone.
  • Phone software — spun out or sold off. Merged with Nokia?
  • Bing — a money-losing proposition, might be sold off.

We’ll see, but I think $25-50B could be saved in a merger, with all of that going to the bottom line for investors.

Posted by Stowe Boyd
December 27, 2011
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  1. what-is-the-best-nikon-camera reblogged this from stoweboyd
  2. decoteau254 liked this
  3. 1en liked this
  4. legaltwo reblogged this from stoweboyd
  5. adrianmelrose reblogged this from stoweboyd and added:
    A bold prediction
  6. queuea liked this
  7. ascratchpad reblogged this from stoweboyd
  8. digitalspark said: Probably too logical and emotional to happen in my opinion … but a good fit in alot of ways. Think Microsoft, though, has way more potential, even though we haven’t seen much in last decade.
  9. mehalchin reblogged this from stoweboyd and added:
    Interesting thoughts...work, but neither side NEEDS this deal, so unlikely
  10. stoweboyd posted this
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Social anthropologist, clairvoyant, postfuturist.

My work is social tools and their impact on media, business, and society.

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