So Maybe We Can All Keep Our Devices On?

One of the downsides of using Kindle software on my iPhone when traveling is having to power down during take off and landing on planes. But now that pilots are putting critical reading material on their iPads, that might change:

Kate Murphy, iPads Replacing Pilots’ Paper Manuals - NYTimes.com

American Airlines won F.A.A. approval last month for its pilots to use the iPad to read aeronautical charts. American received authorization last year to use the device instead of paper reference manuals. Executive Jet Management, a NetJets company owned by Berkshire Hathaway, received the F.A.A.’s permission in February for its pilots to read aeronautical charts on iPads.

Moreover, the F.A.A. said pilots at the two airlines would not have to shut off and store their iPads during taxiing, takeoff and landing because they had demonstrated that the devices would not impair the functioning of onboard electronics.

So let’s see, now that pilots are using electronic devices, suddenly they aren’t a threat to air safety?

AppleInsider | Suppliers indicate Apple will ship as many as 14M iPads next quarter

Apple is set to dramatically boost shipments of the iPad 2 next quarter, with overseas suppliers indicating the total number of units shipped will be between 12 million and 14 million.

If Apple were to ship 14 million iPad 2 units in the next quarter, it would be a number nearly three times greater than the 4.69 million units sold by Apple in its March quarter. That number was considered by Wall Street to be a mild disappointment.

That’s another indicator of the sea change going on in society. I asked a pal this morning, Rachel Weidlinger, how she keeps track of everything in her crazy busy life, and she showed me a worn paper organizer. The she said, ‘but I expect I’ll be moving to a tablet, because I’ll be able to write on it, as well as type.”

The coming liquid world: and Apple iPad and touch interfaces are a major factor in that revolution.

(Source: underpaidgenius)

AppleInsider | Suppliers indicate Apple will ship as many as 14M iPads next quarter

Apple is set to dramatically boost shipments of the iPad 2 next quarter, with overseas suppliers indicating the total number of units shipped will be between 12 million and 14 million.

If Apple were to ship 14 million iPad 2 units in the next quarter, it would be a number nearly three times greater than the 4.69 million units sold by Apple in its March quarter. That number was considered by Wall Street to be a mild disappointment.

That’s another indicator of the sea change going on in society. I asked a pal this morning, Rachel Weidlinger, how she keeps track of everything in her crazy busy life, and she showed me a worn paper organizer. The she said, ‘but I expect I’ll be moving to a tablet, because I’ll be able to write on it, as well as type.”

The coming liquid world: and Apple iPad and touch interfaces are a major factor in that revolution.

(Source: underpaidgenius)

Windows 8: The Beginning of the End of Windows - Michael Mace

Michael Mace, via

Whether or not Windows 8 is a financial success for Microsoft, we’ve now crossed a critical threshold. The old Windows of mice and icons is officially obsolete. That resets the playing field for everybody in computing.

Mace is right, because iOS reset the playing field, and Microsoft is playing catch-up. But Windows 8 might be a credible response.

And Mace is right about obsoleting itself:

Microsoft will pay a serious price for the Windows 8 announcement.  Most PC users haven’t yet upgraded to Windows 7, and some Microsoft execs have been bragging in public about the revenue to come from upgrading all of those people.  Forget about it.  I think you’d be an idiot to buy Windows 7 for an existing PC when you know Windows 8 is coming.  It would be like buying a horse-drawn carriage after Ford announced the Model T.

And developers will skip Windows 7 too. And they will have to make a hard judgment call about Windows 8: will users transition to a new untried platform just because it will run old Windows apps badly? Or will users use this time of disruption to make a clean assessment of needed functionality, and opt for iOS or Android, and leave Windows 8 in the dustbin of history?

I am betting that Microsoft will retain some portion of the most entrenched Windows users and developers, but those that are less invested will move to where the action is fastest and the platform is most stable, and that is going to be Apple iOS, trailed by Google’s Android, and with Microsoft Windows 8 becoming a very distant third.

Cutting That Cord - John Gruber

John Gruber predicts Apple’s direction with iOS cord cutting: when we will not have to use a PC to manage our iOS devices.

After Apple’s iPad 2 introduction event last month, I ran into Josh Topolsky, and, of course, we talked about what we thought of it. Topolsky made an interesting observation: that the iPad 2 epitomized how Apple seems to be a generation ahead of its competitors on the device side — both hardware and software — but a generation behind on the cloud side.

I’ve been thinking about the iPad in this context ever since, and I think it’s a perfect synopsis of the state of iOS. There will be no tablet this year from any competitor that matches the iPad 2 in terms of elegance, battery life, or build quality. No competing OS will match iOS in terms of on-the-device user experience.

But most iPad competitors have little-to-no reliance on a connection to a desktop PC, the way an iPad does.

[…]

The announcement many people seem to be waiting for is for Apple to tell iOS users they no longer need iTunes on the Mac or Windows. The announcement I’d like to see is for iOS users to no longer need to pay for MobileMe to wirelessly sync calendars, contacts — and any other small bits of data from apps from the App Store.

iBooks does this. If you pause while reading a book on your iPad, then resume reading on your iPhone, it picks up on the same page in the book. Kindle and a bunch of other e-reading services do this too. The point isn’t that iBooks is unique or ahead of the curve in this regard. It’s that you don’t need MobileMe for iBooks. It’s all handled by the iTunes Store itself. You buy books on your device, you read them on your device, and your history, bookmarks and other metadata all get synced to your iTunes account in the cloud. And it works great. But a lot more apps should work like this. Should wireless Safari bookmark syncing cost $99 a year? Shouldn’t it be easy for iOS game developers to sync progress for the same game across multiple devices using the same iTunes account? App Store developers shouldn’t have to rely on another third party — Dropbox — for this sort of functionality.

And those third-party iOS developers that are depending upon Dropbox — there’s a veritable cottage industry of Dropbox text editors alone — have a far better syncing experience than Apple’s own creative apps. The iPad versions of the iWork suite and GarageBand are exquisite apps — easily some of the best-designed user experiences for creative software ever made. But the process of getting, say, a slide deck created in Keynote on your iPad open in Keynote on your iMac is downright antediluvian. Google Docs has none of the UI panache, but the syncing is invisible. You just open Google Docs, and there are your files. Doesn’t matter which machine you used to edit or create them, or which machine you’re using now, they’re all just there. That’s part of the overall experience.

That’s where Apple is behind.

Down the other path, openness wins out, and text can be shared in myriad ways. This brings digital books closer to a historical precursor: commonplace books. These were personal scrapbooks created centuries ago expressly for spontaneous text sharing, long before Web links made that concept, well, commonplace.

Jeremy Caplan, discussing a talk by Steven Johnson, The iPad and the Future of Text

This issue is something I am calling freedom of textpression: we need to be able to get at the text in order to express ourselves: to copy, paste, and excerpt. Without that, we are turned into passive consumers of media that exist only as subscribers. But we mustn’t be limited to that: we must be participants and creators, which is why I don’t spend as much time on the iPad as I might: it’s too restricting for people who know that critical writing — using snippets of others’ text — is a deeper and more active path to understanding that merely reading.

(via mediafuturist)

Adobe Might Be Blindsided By The iPad

I read a piece recently by Elliot Jay Stocks that made a pretty compelling case that Adobe might be shooting themselves in the foot with overly bloodthirsty pricing in the iPad marketplace:

Adobe’s pricing model

Perhaps it’s foolish of me to be surprised by the extortionate software prices set by Adobe — it’s certainly their usual practice — but the shocking aspect is that Adobe are going to charge recurring fees on top of the standard software price. That’s totally understandable, since releasing an iPad magazine incurs a hosting overhead (primarily for in-app purchasing), but these fees are astronomical. Here are some of the figures quoted by MacUser, based on current approximate currency conversions:

  • £3636 per year (fixed) for the ‘Platform Fee’ required for in-app purchasing.
  • £3367 per year (minimum) for the’Distribution Service Fee’, which is effectively a downpayment for the £0.16 per issue Adobe will charge, starting at the minimum commitment level of 25,000 downloads (even if you hit nowhere near that amount).

That equates to £7003 per year as a minimum spend — irrespective of how many copies you sell, or how regularly you publish — and that’s on top of the one-off charge for the new 5.5 version of InDesign: £94 as an individual upgrade from CS5, £238 for a suite upgrade from CS5, and considerably more if, like me, you’re upgrading from CS4: £190 for InDesign on its own and £619 for the whole suite. Brand new, InDesign CS5.5 costs £714 and the suite costs £1810. That’s what you’ll be paying to Adobe. On top of that, there’s the 30% per-download charge publishers are required to pay to Apple (which, for the record, I regard as fair, especially as it’s considerably lower than what physical shops take for stocking your magazine).

To put that into perspective, if we released an iPad version of 8 Faces and charged £4 per issue, we would have to sell around 2700 downloads before we broke even, and that doesn’t even take into consideration the time needed to actually create the app, which I’d put at around three weeks.

Enter, Push Pop Press, a new game changer potentially. Push Pop Press is a startup by former Apple engineers Kimon Tsinteris and Mike Matas, who devised a platform to create media-type apps for the iPad, based on work they were doing for Al Gore, getting his book Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis onto that device.

Brian Chen, Gore, Ex-Apple Engineers Team Up to Blow Up the Book | Gadget Lab

When released, Push Pop Press could aggressively compete with Adobe. Currently, many publishers rely on Adobe’s expensive Creative Suite tools to lay out their print pages and to digitize their content for Apple’s iPad.

Push Pop Press could likely undercut Adobe on price, not to mention ease of using the product. An interactive magazine, book, comic book or photo essay can be created with Push Pop Press in as little as 20 minutes, the programmers claim.

However, Matas and Tsinteris don’t view their software as a long-term competitor with Adobe. The software giant has a lock-down on the high-end of the creative field, Tsinteris said, and Push Pop Press’ core audience will likely be smaller publishers looking for an easy, drag-and-drop solution to create apps.

“This is a layout tool, not a developer tool,” Tsinteris said. “It’s a little like playing with Legos.”

My observation is that the solution that does 80% of what is needed for 20% of the cost can usually walk away with 80% of the market, and then add back the missing 20% of functionality as add-ons and plugins, later. Meanwhile, the fatcat competitor who wants the additional 80% for only 20% of functionality goes out of business.

Push Pop Press and others in this space, like OnSwipe (‘insanely easy tablet publishing’) will bring down Adobe, fast.